Saturday 16 February 2019

Starhub Q4 Performance

The recent results for Starhub seems disappointing.

In short, below shows the FY19 Outlook.

Final Dividend of 4cents will be paid in May 2019.

I believe there is a need to be patient if you want to invest in Starhub.

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Maybank KE retail Research on Starhub (15 Feb 2019)
  • 4Q18 net profit slumped 61.8% to $19.8m, knocking FY18 earnings to $201.5 (-26.2%) or 8.7% below consensus forecast.
  • Revenue for the quarter fell 9.8% to $619.5m as improvement in enterprise fixed (+12%) was eclipsed by weakness across mobile (-13.7%), Pay TV (-19.1%), broadband (-3.1%) and sale of equipment (-17.3%).
  • Mobile post-paid ARPU slid to $41 (-10.9% y/y, -6.8% q/q), while that for pay-TV stabilised to $48 (-5.9% q/q, +2.1% q/q).
  • Subscriber bases for both mobile both mobile (-5%) and pay-TV (-10.7%) continued to shrink.
  • Service EBITDA margin narrowed 1.8ppt to 23.1% (3Q18: 28.8%), dragged by losses from Ensign and D’Crypt, higher provision for customer loyalty programmes, provision for leasing contract relating to migration of cable network and one-time accounting adjustments for handset sales.
  • Guided for -2% to flat service revenue for FY19 and EBITDA margin of 26-28% amid intensifying competition with launch of contract-free SIM-only plans.
  • Kept final DPS of 4¢, taking full-year payout to 16¢ (unch) but flagged a much reduced DPS of at least 9¢ for FY19, implying 4.7% yield.
  • Remove StarHub from Market Insight Yield basket as dividend yield is no longer compelling amid a competitive operating landscape.